{"id":249,"date":"2017-04-18T03:25:56","date_gmt":"2017-04-18T03:25:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/?page_id=249"},"modified":"2017-04-18T03:25:56","modified_gmt":"2017-04-18T03:25:56","slug":"known-fate","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/known-fate\/","title":{"rendered":"Known Fate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/index.html\">Contents<\/a> &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/idx.htm\">Index<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: medium\"><b>Known Fate<\/b><\/span>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">The data coding for the known fate model requires a 1 in the L part of the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/encounter_histories_format.htm\">encounter history<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"> for every occasion that the animal is alive at the start of the interval and its fate is known through the interval.\u00a0 A 10 means the animal lived through the interval, and a 11 means the animal died during the interval.\u00a0 There is no code of 01 allowed in the known fate model &#8212; this means that the animal was not alive at the start of the interval, so could not have died.\u00a0 To censor an animal for an occasion when you don&#8217;t know the animal&#8217;s status actually requires censoring an animal for both the preceeding and following intervals.\u00a0 Censoring is specified with the 00 code.\u00a0 Thus, the encounter history 00101000001011 means that the animal lived through intervals 2 and 3 (because he animal is known alive at tme 4 meaning it survived interval 3), was censored for interval 4 and 5 because you did not know the animal&#8217;s status at time 5.\u00a0 Then, the animal was found alive during the 5th interval (i.e., known alive at time 6, the start of the 6th interval), and then lived through interval 6, and died in interval 7.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">Note that the Known Fate model is different than the <a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/nest_survival.htm\">Nest Survival<\/a> model.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">A <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/individual_heterogeneity_models.htm\">individual random effect<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"> can be added to the Known Fate model by using the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/data_type.htm\">Change Data Type<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"> menu choice.\u00a0 However, the random effects sigma parameter will be non-identifiable if you have constructed a <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/saturated_model.htm\">saturated model<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">.\u00a0 For Known Fate data, the saturated model would be unique parameter for each group*time combination when there are no <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/individual_covariates.htm\">individual covariates<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">.\u00a0 In such cases, the -2log Likelihood of the model you have constructed is the same as the saturated model, so that the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/deviance.htm\">deviance<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"> is zero, and the random effects sigma parameter will be non-identifiable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">One of the main purposes of the random effects known fate data type is for <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\"><a href=\"http:\/\/warnercnr.colostate.edu\/~gwhite\/mark\/markhelp\/simulation.htm\">simulation<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: small\">, where data with overdispersion (i.e., parameter heterogeneity) can be generated and used in the usual known fate model to evaluate the effect of parameter heterogeneity.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Contents &#8211; Index Known Fate&nbsp; The data coding for the known fate model requires a 1 in the L part of the encounter history for every occasion that the animal is alive at the start of the interval and its &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/known-fate\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Known Fate<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":117,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-249","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/249","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/117"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=249"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/249\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":250,"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/249\/revisions\/250"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.warnercnr.colostate.edu\/gwhite\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}